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ESI Special Topic of:
"Earthquakes," Published September 2003

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Earthquakes

An INTERVIEW with Jian Lin, Ph. D.

ESI Special Topics, November 2003
Citing URL - http://www.esi-topics.com/earthquakes/interviews/JianLin.html

In this interview, Dr. Jian Lin of Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution talks about his highly cited work in earthquake research. Our Special Topics analysis of research done in this field over the past decade shows that Dr. Lin has published six papers cited a total of 357 times. One of these papers, "Static stress changes and the triggering of earthquakes" (Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer. 84[3]: 935-53, June 1994), ranks at #1 in our analysis, with 243 citations. In the ISI Essential Science Indicators Web product, Dr. Lin has 46 papers cited a total of 1,040 times to date in the Geosciences field. Dr. Lin is an Associate Scientist in Geology and Geophysics at Woods Hole.

ST:  Why do you think your work is highly cited?

My earthquake research focuses on stress transfer, earthquake triggering, and thrust earthquake mechanisms. I work closely with Ross Stein (U.S. Geological Survey), Geoff King (Institut de Physique du Globe, Paris), and Andrew Freed (Purdue U.). I think our work is highly cited for a couple of reasons: (1) We worked on the 1992 magnitude 7.3 Landers earthquake, which turned out to have an exciting clear relationship with its many aftershocks, as well as with the 1999 magnitude 7.1 Hector Mine quake. Thus we got to work with the exciting events. (2) Our 1994 paper in Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer. described in detail the basics of Coulomb stress calculations, which are useful for researchers. (3) With rapid advances in computing power and publicly available software, researchers can now perform Coulomb stress calculations with relative ease. Our group started early in a rapidly growing research field.

I think the most useful contribution of our work is to demonstrate to the research community, through relatively simple examples, that there might indeed be some underlying relationship between stress changes caused by a major earthquake and where aftershocks are likely to occur.

I am a bit surprised that my work on earthquake research in the last decade is among the highly cited because earthquakes are only one of several aspects of my research. I am equally interested in geological processes under the oceans. Much of my published work is in marine geophysics and geodynamic modeling, especially on the subjects of mid-ocean ridges (the Mid-Atlantic Ridge and Southwest Indian Ridge), oceanic hotspots (Galapagos, Iceland, Bouvet, and Azores), ridge-hotspot interactions, and lithosphere deformation.

ST:  What are the circumstances which led you to your work?

In 1991 I obtained a Visiting Fellowship from the then newly established NSF/USGS Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC), enabling me to work with Ross Stein at the U.S. Geological Survey in Menlo Park, California. We started with stress analysis of the 1987 Whittier Narrows earthquake and its implications on blind thrust faults in the Los Angeles basin. However, the occurrence of the 1992 Landers quake, which was the largest in the last 40 years in Southern California, immediately changed our priority. We devoted ourselves to the Landers project with full energy, traveling between California, Massachusetts, and France. The intense work resulted in our first analysis of the Landers quake published in Science about four months after the quake. We subsequently published analyses of the 1994 Northridge and 1999 Hector Mine earthquakes in Science and Nature, respectively—each time with increasing sophistication, but also complexity in the analysis.

ST:  Would you describe the significance of this work for your field?

I think the most useful contribution of our work is to demonstrate to the research community, through relatively simple examples, that there might indeed be some underlying relationship between stress changes caused by a major earthquake and where aftershocks are likely to occur. Our work helped to encourage other researchers to pursue this line of research by examining stress transfer and earthquake triggering in many places in the world.

ST:  Have any practical applications sprung from your work?

The most practical application is to incorporate the results of stress analysis into calculations of earthquake probability, thus helping seismic hazard assessment. Significant progress has been made in this regard, but much needs to be done.

ST:  Where do you see this research going 10 years from now?

Stress transfer analysis is being extended in several directions, including viscoelastic analysis, dynamic stress triggering, and poroelasticity. With improving constraints from real-time seismic and space geodetic monitoring and ever growing computer power, I see an exciting possibility that future models will have significantly improved predictive capability. However, there are still lots of unknowns both in our understanding of the earthquake physics and in our knowledge of the in situ Earth stresses in space and time. We must make progress in these fronts.

ST:  What lessons would you draw from your work to share with the next generation of researchers?

First, a classic paper will have out-of-proportion impacts compared with the accumulation of many lesser-quality publications. Thus do pay attention to ensure the highest quality possible of published work. Second, pursue your interests and do not let funding and other obstacles deter you. To me, being able to pursue my multiple research interests, either on land or at sea, is the greatest benefit of being an independent scientist.End

Jian Lin, Ph.D.
Department of Geology and Geophysics
Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
Woods Hole, MA, USA

ESI Special Topics, November 2003
Citing URL - http://www.esi-topics.com/earthquakes/interviews/JianLin.html

ESI Special Topic of:
"Earthquakes," Published September 2003

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