An INTERVIEW with Jian Lin, Ph. D.
ESI Special Topics,
November 2003
Citing URL - http://www.esi-topics.com/earthquakes/interviews/JianLin.html
n this
interview, Dr. Jian Lin of Woods Hole Oceanographic
Institution talks about his highly cited work in earthquake
research. Our Special Topics analysis of research done in this
field over the past decade shows that Dr. Lin has published
six papers cited a total of 357 times. One of these papers,
"Static stress changes and the triggering of
earthquakes" (Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer. 84[3]:
935-53, June 1994), ranks at #1 in our analysis, with 243
citations. In the ISI
Essential
Science Indicators
Web product, Dr. Lin has 46 papers cited a total of 1,040
times to date in the Geosciences field. Dr. Lin is an
Associate Scientist in Geology and Geophysics at Woods Hole.
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Why
do you think your work is highly cited?
My earthquake research focuses on stress transfer, earthquake
triggering, and thrust earthquake mechanisms. I work closely with
Ross Stein (U.S. Geological Survey), Geoff King (Institut de
Physique du Globe, Paris), and Andrew Freed (Purdue U.). I think our
work is highly cited for a couple of reasons: (1) We worked on the
1992 magnitude 7.3 Landers earthquake, which turned out to have an
exciting clear relationship with its many aftershocks, as well as
with the 1999 magnitude 7.1 Hector Mine quake. Thus we got to work
with the exciting events. (2) Our 1994 paper in Bull. Seismol.
Soc. Amer. described in detail the basics of Coulomb stress
calculations, which are useful for researchers. (3) With rapid
advances in computing power and publicly available software,
researchers can now perform Coulomb stress calculations with
relative ease. Our group started early in a rapidly growing research
field.
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I
think the most useful contribution of our work
is to demonstrate to the research community,
through relatively simple examples, that there
might indeed be some underlying relationship
between stress changes caused by a major
earthquake and where aftershocks are likely to
occur.
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I am a bit surprised that my work on earthquake research in the
last decade is among the highly cited because earthquakes are only
one of several aspects of my research. I am equally interested in
geological processes under the oceans. Much of my published work is
in marine geophysics and geodynamic modeling, especially on the
subjects of mid-ocean ridges (the Mid-Atlantic Ridge and Southwest
Indian Ridge), oceanic hotspots (Galapagos, Iceland, Bouvet, and
Azores), ridge-hotspot interactions, and lithosphere deformation.
What
are the circumstances which led you to your work?
In 1991 I obtained a Visiting Fellowship from the then newly
established NSF/USGS Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC),
enabling me to work with Ross Stein at the U.S. Geological Survey in
Menlo Park, California. We started with stress analysis of the 1987
Whittier Narrows earthquake and its implications on blind thrust
faults in the Los Angeles basin. However, the occurrence of the 1992
Landers quake, which was the largest in the last 40 years in
Southern California, immediately changed our priority. We devoted
ourselves to the Landers project with full energy, traveling between
California, Massachusetts, and France. The intense work resulted in
our first analysis of the Landers quake published in Science
about four months after the quake. We subsequently published
analyses of the 1994 Northridge and 1999 Hector Mine earthquakes in Science
and Nature, respectively—each time with increasing
sophistication, but also complexity in the analysis.
Would
you describe the significance of this work for your field?
I think the most useful contribution of our work is to
demonstrate to the research community, through relatively simple
examples, that there might indeed be some underlying relationship
between stress changes caused by a major earthquake and where
aftershocks are likely to occur. Our work helped to encourage other
researchers to pursue this line of research by examining stress
transfer and earthquake triggering in many places in the world.
Have any practical applications sprung from your work?
The most practical application is to incorporate the results of
stress analysis into calculations of earthquake probability, thus
helping seismic hazard assessment. Significant progress has been
made in this regard, but much needs to be done.
Where
do you see this research going 10 years from now?
Stress transfer analysis is being extended in several directions,
including viscoelastic analysis, dynamic stress triggering, and
poroelasticity. With improving constraints from real-time seismic
and space geodetic monitoring and ever growing computer power, I see
an exciting possibility that future models will have significantly
improved predictive capability. However, there are still lots of
unknowns both in our understanding of the earthquake physics and in
our knowledge of the in situ Earth stresses in space
and time. We must make progress in these fronts.
What
lessons would you draw from your work to share with the next
generation of researchers?
First, a classic paper will have out-of-proportion impacts
compared with the accumulation of many lesser-quality publications.
Thus do pay attention to ensure the highest quality possible of
published work. Second, pursue your interests and do not let funding
and other obstacles deter you. To me, being able to pursue my
multiple research interests, either on land or at sea, is the
greatest benefit of being an independent scientist.
Jian Lin, Ph.D.
Department of Geology and Geophysics
Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
Woods Hole, MA, USA
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ESI Special Topics,
November 2003
Citing URL - http://www.esi-topics.com/earthquakes/interviews/JianLin.html
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